Leeds United news: Championship history suggests Elland Road club are on course for promotion

Hyde November 09, 2019
Leeds United news: Championship history suggests Elland Road club are on course for promotion
It has been a season of joy so far for Leeds United.Marcelo Bielsa’s appointment as manager throughout the summer brought true optimism to Elland Road, with the Whites backed to finally return to the Premier League.Leeds have won 11 matches so far this season, losing just three2
Leeds have won 11 matches so far this season, losing just three
And four months into the season, Leeds are living up to expectations.They sit second in the Championship table, just one point behind leaders Norwich and with the best goal difference in the entire division.A tricky festive period sees Leeds play five matches before the end of the year, before they they visit fellow promotion contenders Nottingham Forest on New Year’s Day.Claiming maximum points over the Christmas period would set them up perfectly for the second half of the season.Promotion was the expectation and, given the club’s excellent campaign so far, it has become the goal, and history suggests returning to the top flight is back on the cards. If Leeds continue to pick up points at the rate they have been over the opening 20 matches of the season (1.95 points per game), they will end the season on 90 points (rounded up from 89.7).Historically, such a points total guarantees promotion to the Premier League, as it is higher than the 87 points that is the average to finish second in the Championship.Winning the league may be beyond the Elland Road club, with 94 points the average to be crowned champions, but that second automatic promotion spot is well within Leeds’ grasp.Could Marcelo Bielsa guide Leeds into the Premier League for the first time since 20042
Could Marcelo Bielsa guide Leeds into the Premier League for the first time since 2004
Furthermore, Leeds’ projected total of 90 points has only ever been reached by one club previously who failed to win automatic promotion; Sunderland won 90 points in 1997/98, but were forced into the play-offs as Nottingham Forest (94 points) and Middlesbrough (91 points) finished first and second respectively.Norwich will finish as champions if they continue to pick up 2ppg for the rest of the campaign, though this keeps them slightly below the average first-place total of 94 points.If the Canaries wish to break the Championship points record – set by Reading in 2005/06 with 106 points – they would need to pick up 67 points in their remaining 26 matches, which equates to just under 2.6 ppg.

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